Strategic Assessment of the Middle East Conflict Zone?

To any common man, or woman, the current social-economic, political, and military reality on the ground within the Middle Eastern Conflict Zone is very clear, which makes the continuation of hostilities, and toxic rhetorical posturing, extremely confounding. 

If the Middle Eastern Conflict Zone was a UFC fight, the referee would certainly call a stoppage.

The Israelis have full control over Israel proper, Jerusalem, and the Golan Heights; expanding economic control over the West Bank, and while the current government administering the Gaza Strip may dispute it, the Israeli military also maintains effective operational control of the Gaza Strip.

The Israeli military is overpowering, coordinated, and operates with a clear and precise mission statement. They strike with impunity, hoping to draw their enemy into a decisive battle. 

For the government of Israel, few questions remain outstanding. 

What, if any, variables will present themselves if the “No Peace Terms” are arbitrarily implemented? What are the options, and or, long-term solutions for ending the siege of the Gaza Strip? Is it even possible? Finally, how best to deal with the short-term issue of the encroaching Shia militias?

Lastly, for the Israelis, “the Jewish people of the desert,” they stand with the knowledge that the entirety of “Western Democracies of the World,” will not let them fall. They stand with the knowledge that they are part of a productive, rules-based, community.

At first glance, it would appear the Middle Eastern Muslims have not only lost but managed to cut off their noses to spite themselves in the process. They continue to fight while raging with a childish anger, for something that could be offered to them in goodwill.

What is even worse, that childish rage has blinded the Middle Eastern Muslim Leadership to the bleak reality that lays before them. As time moves forward, it is they, the Muslims, who become weaker with each passing year. It is they, in the end, who will be left standing alone within the vast and barren desert. 

The days of black gold draw to an end. Rather than stake its bountiful treasure, and build something beautiful, the Middle Eastern Muslims have chosen to destroy. With no viable economic infrastructure or truly functional government institutions, it is only a matter of time before the realities of Lebanon befall upon the entire region.

Even the usefulness of the strategic weaponry the Shiites currently rely upon, drone warfare, and surface-to-surface missiles begins to set upon the horizon as Kinetic Energy Weapons rise in a new dawn of humanity. 

For the Leadership of the Middle Eastern Muslims, the list of questions outstanding are too numerous to list. However, in terms of structural operational reality, a basic question does present itself.

What next? What does the “Resistance” hope to achieve? Any deployment of WMD will be met with an onslaught of their own destruction, and perhaps even threaten the long-term existence of the Shia faith? So what next? 

This obvious structural flaw in the critical thinking within the leadership of the Muslim side of the Conflict Zone leaves the impartial observer to, unfortunately, question the quality of that leadership.   

However, in my opinion, there is a significant enough portion of the Muslim Leadership who display a desire to do the right thing and are actively trying to find the best path forward. Enough so as to warrant further discussion and effort.

Perhaps if the Muslim Leadership within the MECZ were to truly examine their options on the ground, with a realistically objective point of view, they would be forced to come to one simple conclusion. 

The Israelis are not going to be defeated militarily. 

Conclusion

We no longer live in a medieval age. To offer your hand in peaceful cooperation is not bending the knee. It is a sign of maturity and wisdom. To continue fighting when there is no longer any need, or true rationale is beyond explanation, and can no longer be accepted as reasonable in today’s modern world.

To sum up with perhaps a more simplistic, but ultimately true, baseline conclusion, one may proffer; The final battle for Jerusalem has been fought, only the terms need now be settled in accordance with the Organization of Islamic Cooperation “Istanbul Declaration,’” of December 13, 2017.

If, by some miracle of miracle, Shia and Palestinian leadership could come to terms with this fact, and allow this simple concept to matriculate down to its population, peace and prosperity for all sides within the Zone would become a simple exercise.